» Strategy Analytics: iPad at 56.7 percent market share
Electronista:
Android tablets made a considerable leap in terms of market share last quarter, according to Strategy Analytics. The research firm saw the tablet sector growing compared to the same quarter last year, with Apple’s iPad still in the overwhelming lead over any individual competitor. Android-based tablets, though, collectively lopped eight percentage points off of Apple’s market share, taking the iPad maker from 64.5 percent of tablet shipments in the third quarter of 2011 to 56.7 percent for the same quarter 2012.
Remember that Pew had the iPad’s market share at 52 percent for the second quarter. I fully expect the iPad’s share to have fallen in the third quarter and have no reason to believe that Strategy Analytics’ number isn’t somewhere in the general ballpark. All these estimates have to be viewed as best guesses since Google and Amazon don’t report unit sales presumably because they’re too awesome. But Pew’s survey left out a whole age range and they reported it as market share. That’s just wrong.
Strategy Analytics’ number should be taken with a grain of salt. Pew’s number should be taken with a tab of acid.
Anecdote soup
Two more notes from my Surface launch experience.
First, Microsoft’s marketing team was working the line interviewing people and happened to talk to the guy behind me (I sure wasn’t making eye contact with them). They asked him if he had an Xbox and he said he did but he never used it.
“Oh, you will now because of SmartGlass,” they assured him. “You are going to love this.”
By their tone I thought I was missing some huge feature. I had heard the SmartGlass name but couldn’t remember what it was so I asked the Microsoft employee in line in front of me. He said “Oh, it’s Microsoft’s response to AirPlay.”
So, as of today, Microsoft has an answer to AirPlay, née AirTunes in 2004.
Second, the big give-away for the first 100 people buying a Surface was a free year on Microsoft’s subscription music service, a $100 “value”. A few people back from me a guy said he wasn’t particularly interested in that as he had already been screwed by subscribing to two Microsoft music services that the company had canceled, leaving him with no music and no playlists, and now he just bought MP3s from Amazon.
“Now I know I’ll always have my music because I own it.”
Lost decade indeed.
» Another Surface impression
Further afield from Microsoft territory, Marco Arment had a Surface encounter today, too. The title of his post — “An alternate universe” — is quite apropos because being in the Microsoft Store is like being in a place that seems familiar but is just not quite right. There are even rows and rows of thin, silver laptops with black keys… with tell-tale “Intel inside” stickers on them.
I found this part amusing:
They had set up a table and an Xbox demo in the hallway and were giving away “Microsoft Surface”-branded disposable rain ponchos (this entire mall is indoors, including the parking, and it didn’t rain today)…
Too bad they didn’t have those on hand in Seattle as we stood in line for more than two hours in intermittent rain. Admittedly, it could be because people in the Northwest either come prepared for rain or just deal with it.
Contrary to Marco’s experience, the salespeople at the store I was in were pretty good. They gave me plenty of room — possibly because it was somewhat busy — and I found my interactions with them to be positive. When I asked a question, they answered it and then left me alone. The one exception was the salesperson working the line with a sample Surface to try to get us excited. When we’re already in line in the rain, expecting us to be pumped about it is adding insult to injury.
After leaving the Microsoft Store I walked across the parking lot to the Apple Store. I think it might be a little bigger than the Microsoft Store, but it had just as many people in it on a Friday at lunchtime.
Toward the end, Marco pretty well sums up the difference between the Surface and the iPad:
Apple’s products say, “You can’t do that because we think it would suck.” Microsoft’s products say, “We’ll let you try to do anything on anything if you really want to, even if it sucks.”
» Speaking of the Surface
Shawn King interviewed me about my walk on the mild side with the Microsoft Surface today.
Surface impressions
I stood in the rain for over two hours in front of a Microsoft Store so, by God, you are going to hear my quick impressions of the event and Surface whether you like it or not.
The scene:
It was no Apple event. I arrived an hour before the doors opened and was probably 60th or 70th in line and this is in Seattle so a decent number of people in line were actually Microsoft employees. Word had it the crowd at the Bellevue store, which is maybe 10 minutes from Microsoft’s campus, had 800 people.
There were two news vans on the scene and a couple of media people milling about. Microsoft’s marketing team was handing out water, coffee and snacks, and was interviewing people about why they were lined up for a Surface.
(I guess they don’t know?)
The guy in front of me was a Microsoft employee but said he was there as an individual. He said the company was actually encouraging employees to get the Intel-based Surface so they could run their corporate applications on it, something you can’t do with the ARM-based Surface RT.
The crowd was certainly less enthusiastic than at an Apple event. Several of the people around me joked about that. The people I talked to seemed interested in the Surface — everyone I spoke with worked in technology — but not exactly excited about it per se. I heard that someone had gotten there about 7:00 AM and I saw someone had a tent, but I think that was because of the rain, not because they were there overnight. I didn’t see the moment the doors opened because I was around the corner of the building but when I was in the store one guy did cheer as he entered, although he could have been a Microsoft employee.
Despite the line being shorter than at an Apple event, it didn’t seem to be any faster getting in the door. After two hours, we estimated we were still about an hour from getting in. Eventually we figured out this was because Microsoft was assigning a staff person to help you specifically with your Surface purchase and the hand-holding was apparently slowing things down immensely. If you wanted to browse, you could go right in. I wasn’t planning on buying one unless I was bowled over by the power of the uncompromising user experience, so I hopped out of line and went in.
The Surface:
I have to say that I was more impressed by the Surface in person than I thought I was going to be. It’s got a good build quality, although certainly not as good as an iPad. Because while it’s good plastic, it’s still plastic (Chris Pepper reminds me that VaporMG is metal so I’ll amend this to say it’s a metal that feels like plastic), and I think the Surface suffers visually from having more ports. I know that comes with added capabilities, but it just ends up looking like a Windows laptop and I don’t mean in a good way.
I do really like Metro (we’re just calling it Metro, OK?) and I like the way that Microsoft has cleaned up even the traditional applications like Word and Excel for Windows 8. No ribbon. I’ve already talked about my feelings about the Metro/desktop dichotomy so I won’t rehash them. Those haven’t changed and I still feel like the Surface is a device trying to do too many things and not excelling at any of them.
The unit I played with most had a few slight hiccups. It seemed to stutter a little when scrolling but not annoyingly so and spent a lot of time trying to figure out what I wanted it to do. Was that swipe from the side to bring up the menu or to scroll? Some of that may just be getting used to Windows 8 on a touch device. Once when I set it down the screen orientation was upside down and it didn’t seem to realize it. I had to pick it up and turn it over and then back again to get it the right way.
The Touch Cover was better than I expected, but not really that much better than how I can type on the screen of my iPad. I still made a fair number of mistakes. The Type Cover — which has keys that move — was quite nice and personally I’d only consider getting a Surface with one of them, which means it would start at $630 for me.
While I was more impressed than I thought I was going to be and genuinely liked the Surface, I wasn’t bowled over. I considered buying one but, as I said earlier, asked myself this question: “Wouldn’t you rather have two iPad minis?”
Turns out I would.
» Get it?!
They’re Mac users and they’re retarded!
I think even the most devoted, mouth-foaming Mactard gets the picture–the enhanced retina, improved camera, faster processor, still very expensive picture, that is. Two iPad releases in the same year. How stupid do you think people are? OK, maybe you got me there. Still, you shouldn’t be so blatant about it.
Zing. Good one, dude.
In light of the recent controversy over Ann Coulter calling Obama a “retard”, I wonder if it’s ZDNet’s editorial policy that using the pejorative “Mactard” is just A-O-K?
Feel free to call us names. Feel free to mock our choice of technology vendor. God knows I do the same thing. Just cut the crap with using terms that demean an entire class of people just to try to score points in our stupid technology fights.
The phantom compromise
In its attempts to wedge the Surface between the iPad and the laptop, Microsoft seems to have created a robust piece of hardware that cannot quite solve a non-existent problem. The iPad, for some, is a fantastic work platform. For others, like myself, that cannot subscribe to this, laptops are becoming increasingly thin and light with each passing month. The “compromise” Microsoft sought to build upon was, in other words, a figment of the company’s imagination.
Or one they were trying to invent and get people to believe.
The reviews of the Surface are mixed but leaning toward positive. Most seem to think that the platform is rough around the edges but promising. That was my impression of Windows 8 as well. If Windows ever goes full Metro (let’s just call it that, the hell with them) it’ll be a lot more compelling to me.
The Metro/desktop dichotomy is too confusing. The fact that Windows 8 forces you to do some things in the desktop when in touch mode and forces a touch-friendly interface on you in desktop mode is disastrous. If you believe people want just one device, I think the way to do it is have a device that fully switches modes — touch when mobile, mouse and keyboard when not — and allows you to do everything you need in either mode. The way it is, though, it’s half-assed.
It’s possible Microsoft will move in the fully bi-modal direction, but for $600 for a Surface with a keyboard — which is what you really need to make the device fully usable — I’d rather pay a little more and get two iPad minis.
» Not exactly how a “pal” would treat you
Shawn King details how to opt out of PayPal’s odious new user agreement that restricts your right to participate in any class action lawsuit against them. You can do it, but only through snail mail.
Classy.
» Added dealer incentives
The Verge:
Microsoft quickly exhausted its pre-order supply of Surface RT tablets, so your best (and only) chance of acquiring one on October 26th is to make the trek to your closest Microsoft Store. To that end, the company will be offering an incentive it hopes may compel shoppers to line up bright and early: a free year of Xbox Music.
You do have to buy a Surface to get the incentive, but that’s a $100… uh, “value” seems like the wrong word.
Remember when Apple gave away HAHAHAHAHAHA to get people to line up for HAHAHAHAHAHA?
