» The pointlessness of trying to predict smartphone market share

Harry McCracken:

That’s the thing about smartphones: Startling, game-changing developments happen all the time. If you can’t assume that you even know what the big picture will look like a few years hence, you surely can’t predict market share down to the decimal point.

Not that continually being wrong is going to stop them. Clearly the point of this exercise is not to show how smart they are.